Source : CNW
The Caribbean is currently experiencing an unusually warm period, and it seems this trend is set to continue, possibly until October.
Near-record temperatures, particularly high in August and September, are anticipated across the region.
The Barbados-based Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum (CariCOF) has released its Heat Outlook for May through October.
The report forecasts that the period from May to July, which marks the early phase of the Caribbean Heat Season in the Caribbean Islands and Belize, will be significantly hotter than usual.
The forecast highlights intense, nearly record-breaking levels of nighttime and daytime heat, compounded by rising humidity levels from June to September.
Health and environmental concerns
With the increasing temperatures and humidity, there are growing concerns about the impact on vulnerable populations and small livestock.
The conditions could lead to frequent, intense, and possibly prolonged episodes of heat stress throughout these months.
Expected number of heatwave days
The typical number of heatwave days varies across the region.
Historically, there are 15 to 20 such days in Puerto Rico and the northern Leeward Islands, and 5 to 10 in Belize and the wind-sheltered areas of the Lesser Antilles.
However, this year’s projections are alarming: 30 to 50 heatwave days are expected in The Bahamas, Barbados, Trinidad, and the wind-sheltered areas of the Windward Islands, with at least 30 days anticipated in The Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Dominica, Martinique, Saint Lucia, and Trinidad.
Local responses to heat conditions
Various Caribbean islands have already started issuing heatwave advisories in response to the soaring temperatures.
They have highlighted concerns over light winds and high humidity, which can lead to dangerously hot conditions.
In Belize, the National Meteorological Service issued a Heat Alert for May 8, warning that temperatures could exceed 97°F.
Residents, particularly those inland, are advised to stay hydrated and limit outdoor activities during the hottest parts of the day.
Furthermore, the Grenada Meteorological Services reported a heatwave on the island, marking it as the second consecutive day with temperatures above 31.7°C at Point Salines.
A 48-hour heatwave advisory was put in place.